BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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N Illinois

Class: 1 Class Rank: 180 Conference: Mid-American Record: (8-10) Overall: (16-13) Overall Strength =   37.09

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Away    L    31.34  48  88    1   7 ( 25-  5) Notre Dame             -5.55 *  -34.45                      
  2 11-12-2022 Home    W    58.91  86  79    1  60 ( 16- 17) DePaul                 22.01    -15.01                      
  3 11-15-2022 Home    W    32.76  61  53    1 286 ( 12- 17) Southern Indiana       -4.13     12.13                      
  4 11-17-2022 Home    W    62.01 100  61    1 305 ( 10- 20) W Illinois             25.12     13.88                      
  5 11-22-2022 Away    W    24.97  65  63    1 318 (  5- 25) Detroit               -11.92     13.92                      
  6 11-26-2022 Away    W    53.53  87  50    1 357 (  1- 29) Navy                   16.64     20.36                      
  7 11-27-2022 Neutral W    49.00  67  64    1 109 ( 20- 10) Richmond               12.11     -9.11                      
  8 12-03-2022 Away    W    39.73  71  69    1 210 ( 21-  8) E Illinois              2.84     -0.84                      
  9 12-12-2022 Away    W    29.33  67  56    1 352 (  2- 24) Lindenwood             -7.56     18.56                      
 10 12-17-2022 Home    L    17.46  60  62    1 316 (  9- 22) SIUE                  -19.43     17.43                      
 11 12-21-2022 Away    L    26.24  72  85    1 193 ( 17- 13) IUPUI                 -10.65     -2.35                      
 12 01-04-2023 Away    L *  14.31  62  79    1 275 (  6- 23) Central Michigan      -22.59      5.59                      
 13 01-07-2023 Home    W *  48.36  67  66    1  75 ( 25-  4) Toledo                 11.47    -10.47                      
 14 01-11-2023 Away    L *  26.41  70  79    1 233 ( 12- 17) Western Michigan      -10.49      1.49                      
 15 01-14-2023 Home    W *  37.64  78  66    1 285 (  6- 23) Ohio                    0.75     11.25                      
 16 01-18-2023 Home    L *  24.93  69  74    1 238 ( 12- 19) Miami OH              -11.96      6.96                      
 17 01-21-2023 Away    L *  31.26  61  66 1  1 226 ( 15- 14) Eastern Michigan       -5.63      0.63                      
 18 01-25-2023 Home    L *  21.55  61  82    1 107 ( 20-  9) Kent                  -15.34     -5.66                      
 19 01-28-2023 Home    L *  31.31  50  66    1  78 ( 25-  5) Bowling Green          -5.58    -10.42                      
 20 02-01-2023 Away    L *  43.54  68  76    1  88 ( 24-  7) Ball St                 6.65    -14.65                      
 21 02-04-2023 Away    W *  48.06  72  62    1 204 ( 12- 15) Buffalo                11.16     -1.16                      
 22 02-08-2023 Home    W *  59.56  88  63    1 185 ( 17- 12) Akron                  22.67      2.33                      
 23 02-11-2023 Away    L *  29.76  71  72    1 285 (  6- 23) Ohio                   -7.13      6.13                      
 24 02-15-2023 Away    W *  56.43  85  81    1  78 ( 25-  5) Bowling Green          19.54    -15.54                      
 25 02-18-2023 Home    W *  53.42  84  77    1  88 ( 24-  7) Ball St                16.53     -9.53                      
 26 02-22-2023 Away    L *  14.05  67  88    1 238 ( 12- 19) Miami OH              -22.84      1.84                      
 27 02-25-2023 Home    W *  30.19  84  80 2  1 275 (  6- 23) Central Michigan       -6.71     10.71                      
 28 03-01-2023 Home    W *  41.14  73  63    1 226 ( 15- 14) Eastern Michigan        4.24      5.76                      
 29 03-04-2023 Away    L *  32.67  58  73    1 107 ( 20-  9) Kent                   -4.22    -10.78                      
      Averages              36.89  70.8 70.4

Best game:   62.01 = 39 point win over W Illinois
Worst game:  14.05 = 21 point loss to Miami OH
Team stdev:  13.98